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Southwest Monsoon Set to Withdraw from West Rajasthan Around September 19

The southwest monsoon is expected to start withdrawing from western Rajasthan around September 19. That is a few days later than the usual date of September 17. National rainfall remains about 15% below normal. More than 218 districts are facing dry conditions and stress on farm output.

Rainfall has been uneven across India. El Niño-linked patterns have left major farm regions short of moisture. South India is 28% below normal. The east and northeast are 25% below normal. The northwest is 10% short. Central India is 6% short.

Several farm states show larger gaps. Meghalaya is 59% below normal. Andhra Pradesh is 43% short. Punjab is 40% short. Bihar is 35% short. Karnataka is 29% short. With withdrawal beginning, those seasonal totals are unlikely to recover in full.

District-level stress is also high. Official contingency planning has flagged hundreds of districts with weak irrigation and large rainfall shortfalls. Among arid districts, 111 have irrigation coverage below 25% and are marked highly vulnerable. A recent weekly review listed 218 districts with acute drought signs. Those areas include parts of Bihar, Andhra Pradesh, Rajasthan, and Punjab.

Kharif crops face soil-moisture stress. Paddy, maize, cotton, and pulses are among the crops at risk.

Some rain is still likely before the monsoon leaves. Isolated showers are expected in places. Jammu and Kashmir may see rain. Scattered showers are possible in Punjab, Haryana, and Delhi. Isolated heavy rain may fall in Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, and Kerala. Those late showers are not expected to close the seasonal deficit.

After withdrawal, heat and low groundwater may increase the need for administrative relief. Officials are watching reservoir levels and crop acreage as the season ends.

IMD Warns of Rain and Thunderstorms Across Large Parts of India on September 14

Weather will stay active across much of India on September 14. Many states are likely to see rain. Thunderstorms and lightning are also possible. Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, and parts of north India remain under the influence of several systems.

IMD has forecast heavy rain in Delhi, Haryana, and Punjab on September 14 and 15. Parts of south India may also face strong winds of 40 to 50 kmph. Gusts could reach 60 kmph.

Several systems are driving the change. The monsoon trough is south of its normal position. A low-pressure area over southwest Madhya Pradesh and adjoining north Vidarbha is moving west-northwest. An upper-air cyclonic circulation lies over south Konkan and the adjoining Arabian Sea. A western disturbance is active as well.

Delhi-NCR may stay cloudy with rain. IMD has issued a heavy-rain warning for Delhi, Haryana, and Chandigarh. Gurugram, Faridabad, Noida, and Ghaziabad may also get showers. Some pockets could see heavy spells. Others may get only light rain. Humidity may ease. Waterlogging and traffic delays remain likely.

Uttar Pradesh may see rain and thunderstorms. Western and central districts are most exposed. Lucknow, Kanpur, Meerut, Ghaziabad, Noida, Agra, Mathura, Prayagraj, and Varanasi may turn cloudy. Intensity will vary by city.

Bihar is likely to stay wet. Activity may increase from September 15, with heavy rain in some areas. Patna, Gaya, Muzaffarpur, Vaishali, Saran, Siwan, Gopalganj, Darbhanga, Madhubani, Supaul, Purnia, and Katihar may see changing skies. Outdoor workers should watch for lightning.

Jharkhand may remain cloudy with further rain. Ranchi, Bokaro, Dhanbad, Hazaribagh, Ramgarh, Khunti, Jamshedpur, Deoghar, Dumka, Giridih, Gumla, and Palamu are on the list. Thunder is possible. Low-lying areas could waterlog. Amounts will not be uniform.

West Bengal stays under active weather. North Bengal and areas near Sikkim may get more widespread rain. Darjeeling, Jalpaiguri, Cooch Behar, Alipurduar, Kalimpong, and Siliguri may stay cloudy. Kolkata, Howrah, Hooghly, West Midnapore, and Bankura may also see showers.

East Rajasthan is the wetter side of that state. IMD expects heavy rain at isolated places on September 14 and 15. Jaipur, Dausa, Bharatpur, Alwar, Karauli, Sawai Madhopur, Kota, Bundi, Baran, and Jhalawar may get thunderstorms. Western Rajasthan may only turn cloudy in places.

Madhya Pradesh remains in the path of the low-pressure area. Western districts may see widespread rain and thunder. Isolated heavy falls are possible. Indore, Ujjain, Ratlam, Dhar, Jhabua, Dewas, Khargone, Khandwa, Harda, and Narmadapuram may receive rain. Bhopal, Vidisha, Raisen, Sehore, Sagar, and Damoh could stay cloudy with showers.

Punjab and Haryana have a heavy-rain warning for both days. Gurugram, Faridabad, Rohtak, Hisar, Panipat, Karnal, Sonipat, Ambala, and Chandigarh may see rain. In Punjab, Amritsar, Ludhiana, Jalandhar, Patiala, Bathinda, Firozpur, Sangrur, and Hoshiarpur may also get showers. Lightning risk remains for people outdoors.

Uttarakhand may stay wet. Dehradun, Haridwar, Nainital, Pauri Garhwal, Tehri Garhwal, Chamoli, Uttarkashi, Rudraprayag, Pithoragarh, and Bageshwar are likely to receive rain. Thunder and lightning are forecast. Hill roads may face landslides and blockages. Himachal Pradesh may see rain in Kinnaur, Mandi, Chamba, Una, Hamirpur, Solan, Bilaspur, and Kangra.

Jammu and Kashmir may turn more active. Thunder is possible on September 14. Wider rain is expected from September 15 to 17. Jammu, Anantnag, Baramulla, Poonch, Rajouri, Kishtwar, Reasi, Ganderbal, Udhampur, Ramban, Shopian, and Bandipora may stay cloudy. Ladakh and nearby areas could also see rain and thunder in that later window.

The Northeast is likely to remain wet. Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, and Meghalaya may get widespread rain. Some areas could see heavy showers. Guwahati, Dibrugarh, Jorhat, Lakhimpur, and Silchar are on the watch list. Shillong, Cherrapunji, and Tura may stay cloudy. Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, and Tripura may also receive rain. Waterlogging and landslides are possible.

South India is not dry either. Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, and Karaikal may see thunderstorms with 40 to 50 kmph winds. Gusts may hit 60 kmph. Chennai, Coimbatore, Madurai, and Tirunelveli may receive rain. Kerala is likely to see heavy showers from September 14 to 16. Andhra Pradesh and Telangana may also turn wet. Visakhapatnam, Vijayawada, Kakinada, Nellore, Hyderabad, Warangal, and Karimnagar may stay cloudy. Strong surface winds are likely over coastal Andhra Pradesh and Rayalaseema.

Fishermen have been advised to stay off the sea along the Gujarat and north Maharashtra coasts. Commuters and outdoor workers across the wet belts should plan for slick roads and lightning.

IMD Hyderabad Issues Orange Alert for Very Heavy Rain on September 13

IMD Hyderabad has forecast very heavy monsoon rain for Sunday, September 13. The department has also issued an orange alert. Thunderstorms and lightning are likely in several Telangana districts.

Weather observer T Balaji posted a separate outlook on X. He expected scattered thunderstorms from midnight to early morning. The list covered Medak, Siddipet, Kamareddy, Sircilla, Karimnagar, Jagtial, Nizamabad, Hanumakonda, Warangal, Rangareddy, Yadadri-Bhongir, Vikarabad, Sangareddy, Nalgonda, Adilabad, and Asifabad. Hyderabad city was included as well.

The southwest monsoon is still running below normal in the state. Telangana has received 519.1 mm of rain so far. The seasonal normal is 649.9 mm. That leaves a deficit of 20 percent.

Hanumakonda has the steepest shortfall. The district has recorded 378.2 mm against a normal of 714.1 mm. The gap stands at 47 percent. Warangal, Bhadradri Kothagudem, Jangaon, Yadadri Bhuvanagiri, Medchal-Malkajgiri, Jogulamba Gadwal, and Khammam have also logged deficits above 30 percent.

Hyderabad itself remains behind its seasonal mark. The city has received 393.8 mm. Its normal is 535.6 mm.

Saturday already brought heavy rain to parts of the state. Telangana Development Planning Society data put the highest total at 191.3 mm in Mahabubabad. In Hyderabad, Tirumalagiri recorded 35.5 mm.

Officials have asked residents to plan travel with care. Wet roads and lightning can disrupt movement. More showers may follow under the orange alert.

Deep Magnitude-6.2 Quake Hits off Northwest Jakarta; No Immediate Damage Reported

A strong earthquake struck near Java early on Saturday, 12 September. The shock began far below the surface. That depth set it apart from the shallow quakes that often wreck towns in Indonesia.

Indonesia’s Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) timed the event at 2:53 am IST. The epicentre lay at sea, about 49 kilometres northwest of Jakarta. Depth was 376 kilometres. Germany’s GFZ put the magnitude at 6.2. There were no immediate reports of deaths or damage.

Shaking was felt across parts of Java, including Jakarta and areas of West Java. Parts of Sumatra also reported the tremor.

The depth explains the type of quake. At 376 kilometres, it is a deep-focus event. Most earthquakes break in the upper crust. Some break much deeper, inside a slab of plate that has been forced into the mantle. Indonesia sits where several plates meet. South of Java, the Indo-Australian Plate sinks beneath the Eurasian Plate. That process is subduction. Stress builds inside the descending slab. Rock then fractures or slips. Seismic waves radiate outward.

Depth also changes the danger at the surface. A shallow quake can throw sharp motion straight into nearby buildings. Waves from hundreds of kilometres down must cross a thick stack of rock first. Energy spreads over a wider area before it arrives. Deep quakes are not harmless. They often shake a broader region more evenly than a similar-size shock near the surface.

A tsunami was unlikely. Tsunamis usually need a large, sudden shove of the seafloor. An earthquake hundreds of kilometres below the seabed rarely produces that shove.

Indonesia will keep recording both shallow and deep events. This one shows the difference. Magnitude alone does not fix the risk. Depth and mechanism decide how the ground moves, and whether the sea can rise.

Gurgaon Records 71% Excess Rain While Haryana Stays Dry

Gurgaon received 55mm of rain between September 4 and September 10. That total is 71% above the city’s usual weekly average of 32.2mm. The district therefore stood apart from much of Haryana.

The week also improved the city’s monsoon tally. Since June 1, Gurgaon has recorded 467.4mm of rain. The normal seasonal figure is 452.2mm. The city is now 3% above that mark.

The rest of the state did not share the surplus. IMD data show a 45% rainfall deficit across Haryana for the same week. The state received 15.5mm against a normal of 28.2mm.

Several districts stayed almost dry. Sirsa, Jind, Hisar, Charkhi Dadri, and Bhiwani reported weekly deficits between 95% and 100%. For the full season, Haryana remains 24% below normal. Gurgaon, Nuh, and Palwal are among the few districts that have met or crossed the seasonal average.

More rain is still likely in Gurgaon. IMD has forecast light to moderate showers at isolated places from September 11 to 13. The same pattern is expected on September 14 and 15. The office has not issued a specific warning for Gurgaon.

The past week brought mixed weather. Thunderstorms, lightning, and gusty winds marked the first five days. Isolated heavy rain fell between September 4 and 7. Conditions then eased. The district recorded no significant rain in the 24 hours ending September 10.

IMD has warned of heavy rain at isolated places in Haryana on September 14 and 15. Gurgaon’s own forecast remains light to moderate.

August 2026 Ties Hottest Month on Record as El Niño Strengthens

August 2026 tied the hottest month ever recorded. The Copernicus Climate Change Service released that finding on Thursday. It matched July 2023 in the global temperature record.

The global average surface air temperature stood 1.65°C above the estimated pre-industrial baseline. That also made August the first month to exceed 1.5°C since November 2025. Meanwhile, a strengthening El Niño helped push the heat higher.

Sea surface temperatures also set records. Extra-polar oceans tied March 2024 for the highest monthly average. Daily extra-polar sea surface temperature also reached a new peak of 21.11°C. Copernicus linked that warmth to strong El Niño conditions in the tropical Pacific.

This update follows a World Meteorological Organization warning issued on 3 September. The WMO said El Niño is now firmly established. It also said the event will intensify into a very strong phase in the coming months. Forecasts give a near 100% chance that it will last through February 2027. As a result, rainfall and temperature patterns may shift across many regions.

Copernicus is the Earth observation programme of the European Union. The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts supports the service. Together they track global weather and climate data.

Western Europe also closed its warmest summer on record. The previous regional mark came in 2003. Heatwaves continued in August after an unusually hot stretch that began in May. Large parts of western, central, and eastern Europe stayed dry as well. France, the United Kingdom, Hungary, Romania, and Serbia reported severe drought. Major rivers ran unusually low, including the Rhine, Danube, Southern Bug, and Dnieper.

Samantha Burgess, Strategic Lead for Climate at ECMWF, called August 2026 a remarkable month in the climate record. She said the observations show climate change driving extremes in both the atmosphere and the oceans. She added that communities, economies, and ecosystems are already feeling those impacts.

On the same day, UN Climate Change executive secretary Simon Stiell spoke in Brussels. He told a European Parliament committee that climate impacts are already visible. He pointed to extreme heat, pressure on infrastructure, disrupted trade, and strain on crops and food prices. He also urged countries to work together on clean energy supply chains. He noted that the Turkish COP31 Presidency, working with Australia, has set Action Agenda targets, including a goal for electricity to meet 35% of final global energy demand by 2035.

Copernicus also said record-high Pacific sea surface temperatures are helping the El Niño event intensify. According to the service, those conditions are already affecting land. In Indonesia, they are favouring stronger seasonal wildfires.

Monsoon Slows Over South India, But Official Withdrawal Has Not Begun

The southwest monsoon has quietened over large parts of India. The rainy season now enters its final weeks. Rainfall has eased most clearly over peninsular India. That raises a simple question. Is the season ending, or will another spell of rain arrive?

It is still too early to call the monsoon over. On September 7, the India Meteorological Department said rainfall will stay subdued over peninsular India for the next seven days. However, this remains a lull. It is not the formal withdrawal. Rain continues in other regions.

Is the monsoon still active?

The slowdown stands out across southern and peninsular India. The latest IMD outlook points to limited rain there in the coming days. Elsewhere, the monsoon stays active. A low-pressure area over central Uttar Pradesh is influencing weather over parts of north and central India. The monsoon trough also remains in play. It stretches from northwest India towards the Bay of Bengal. As a result, several regions still receive rain.

There is another reason to wait. IMD’s extended-range forecast points to a fresh cyclonic circulation over the central and adjoining northwest Bay of Bengal. Under that influence, a low-pressure area may form in the same region. That system could increase rain over eastern and adjoining northeastern parts of peninsular India in the following week.

When could rain return?

The next spell is likely to stay uneven. It will not cover the whole country at once. IMD expects fairly widespread rain over Chhattisgarh from September 8 to 12. Vidarbha may see rain from September 10 to 12. Odisha may also receive rain during the same period. Therefore, peninsular India may stay relatively dry for now. The pattern could turn more active later as the Bay of Bengal system develops.

September rain still matters for farming. Below-normal rain this month could affect standing crops. It could also reduce soil moisture before the winter sowing season.

Has the monsoon ended?

The rainy season has not checked out of India yet. A lull does not mean official withdrawal. IMD declares withdrawal only after specific conditions appear. Those include five straight days without significant rain, an anticyclone in the lower atmosphere, and a clear drop in moisture.

In short, the monsoon is slowing. It has not left. More rain remains possible if the expected Bay of Bengal system forms as forecast. For now, the season has taken a pause. It has not quit.

IMD Forecasts Heavy Rain in UP, Uttarakhand, Bihar and the Northeast

The India Meteorological Department has warned of widespread rain across large parts of India this week. Heavy to very heavy showers may hit parts of Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Bihar and the Northeast. A low-pressure area has moved from southwest Uttar Pradesh to central Uttar Pradesh. Meanwhile, several weather systems are acting together.

Eastern Uttar Pradesh may see fairly widespread to widespread rain on 7 and 8 September. Heavy rain is likely there on 8 September. Isolated very heavy rain is also possible over eastern and western Uttar Pradesh on 7 September.

Uttarakhand may receive widespread rain on 7 September. Another wet spell is likely from 10 to 13 September. During that later period, heavy rain, thunderstorms and lightning may occur.

Rain is also likely over Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi, Punjab and Rajasthan through the week. However, IMD has not issued a warning for Delhi and Haryana for the next seven days.

Eastern India may stay especially wet. Bihar is likely to get widespread rain from 7 to 9 September. Isolated heavy rain may follow from 8 to 10 September. Very heavy rain is possible in Bihar on 7 September.

Sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim may also see very heavy rain on 7 September. Heavy rain is then likely on 8 September and again on 11 and 12 September. In addition, Jharkhand and Odisha may get spells of heavy rain. Thunderstorms, lightning and gusty winds are possible in several of these areas.

Across the Northeast, Assam and Meghalaya may receive heavy rain from 7 to 13 September. Arunachal Pradesh may see heavy rain on 8 and 9 September, and again from 11 to 13 September. Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram and Tripura are also likely to get heavy spells.

Rain should continue over west Madhya Pradesh, east Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha and Chhattisgarh through the week. Heavy rainfall is possible in parts of Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh. Konkan and Goa may see fairly widespread to widespread rain through 13 September. Meanwhile, Gujarat, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada, and Saurashtra and Kutch may get isolated to scattered showers.

In the south, Kerala is likely to see widespread rain from 10 to 12 September. Thunderstorms and gusty winds are also possible over parts of Tamil Nadu and Telangana.

Residents in the alert zones should watch official updates. Authorities also advise caution near rivers, low-lying areas and hill slopes during heavy spells.

Motorcyclist Swept Off Flooded Crossing in Sawai Madhopur, Escapes Unhurt

A man tried to ride a motorcycle across a flooded stretch in Sawai Madhopur, Rajasthan. Strong current then pulled him and the bike downstream. He got out safely. The motorcycle was carried away.

The Jhareti stream was running high. It brings water from the forests and hills of Ranthambore. Rain had fallen without a break since morning. Water therefore collected on the crossing.

Vehicles queued on both sides. Drivers waited for the flow to ease. One rider still attempted the crossing. He moved a short way through the water. Then he lost his balance. The current swept him and the motorcycle farther down the stream.

He tried to keep hold of the bike. The flow was too strong. The motorcycle disappeared into the water. After being carried some distance, the man reached the bank. He escaped without a serious injury.

The episode underlines a familiar monsoon risk. Flooded roads and seasonal streams can look shallow and still knock a rider off course. Officials have repeatedly told people not to cross waterlogged stretches when the current is strong. Waiting is safer than testing the flow.